农村人口老龄化效应下农业生态效率的变化
DOI:
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

1.浙江工业大学;2.浙江工业大学之江学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家社科基金重大项目“新时代乡村振兴与新型城镇化的战略及协同治理研究”(18ZDA045)


The change of agricultural ecological efficiency under the effect of rural population aging
Author:
Affiliation:

1.zhejiang university of technilogy;2.Zhejiang University of Technology Zhijiang College

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    基于2005—2017年中国30个省级数据,采用超效率SBM模型测算了省际农业生态效率,建立了以农村劳动力转移为门槛变量的面板门槛模型,以考察农村人口老龄化对农业生态效率的非线性影响,并且进行了效应机制和分地区检验,结果显示:①农村人口老龄化对农业生态效率总体上呈现负效应,这种负相关随着劳动力转移阶段的变化呈现先下降,逐渐趋于不显著,最后又上升的现象;②在农村人口老龄化对农业生态效率的促减效应机制检验中13.60%是通过土地规模减小的中介效应引起的,24.63%是由于农村人力资本下降引起的,通过机械化水平提高可以抵消一部分(55.56%)农村人口老龄化对农业生态效率的负向效应;③东部地区农村劳动力转移低于64.45%时,农村人口老龄化对农业生态效率的负向效应还未显现;中部地区总体上也呈现负相关,并且这种负效应先增加后减少;西部地区的负效应在跨越第三个门槛值前均呈现逐渐降低的趋势;东北地区在跨过门槛值42.11%后,农村人口老龄化对农业生态效率的负效应又有所提高。

    Abstract:

    Based on the 30 provincial data of China from 2005 to 2017, the super-efficient SBM model was used to measure the inter-provincial agricultural eco-efficiency, and a panel threshold model with rural labor transfer as the threshold variable was established to investigate the impact of rural population aging on agricultural eco-efficiency. Non-linear effects, and the effect mechanism and sub-regional tests were carried out. The results show that: ①The aging of the rural population has a negative effect on agricultural ecological efficiency as a whole. This negative correlation decreases with the change of the labor transfer stage, and gradually tends to be insignificant, and finally increases; ②In the test of the promotion and reduction effect mechanism of rural population aging on agricultural ecological efficiency, 13.60% is caused by the mediating effect of the reduction of land size, and 24.63% is caused by the decline of rural human capital. The increase in the level of mechanization can offset part (55.56%) of the negative effect of rural population aging on agricultural ecological efficiency; ③When the rural labor transfer in the eastern region is less than 64.45%, the negative impact of the aging of the rural population on agricultural ecological efficiency has not yet manifested, the central region also shows a negative correlation, and this negative effect increases firstly and then decreases; the negative effect in the western region shows a gradual decrease trend before crossing the third threshold; After the northeast region cross the threshold of 42.11%, the negative effect of rural population aging on agricultural ecological efficiency has increased.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2020-09-29
  • 最后修改日期:2021-03-10
  • 录用日期:2021-03-16
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码